Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Davis
Big West
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#235
Expected Predictive Rating-6.4#271
Pace65.4#274
Improvement+3.2#59

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#300
First Shot-2.8#265
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#316
Layup/Dunks+1.5#124
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#203
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#253
Freethrows-1.6#292
Improvement+3.5#38

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#151
First Shot-0.9#194
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#49
Layups/Dunks+0.9#130
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#285
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#171
Freethrows-0.6#224
Improvement-0.3#206
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 3.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 20.0 - 4.00.0 - 7.0
Quad 31.0 - 8.01.0 - 15.0
Quad 48.0 - 5.09.0 - 20.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 81   San Francisco L 42-76 23%     0 - 1 -30.8 -30.4 -1.0
  Nov 09, 2018 96   San Diego L 57-76 26%     0 - 2 -16.6 -10.3 -7.2
  Nov 12, 2018 52   @ Arkansas L 58-81 7%     0 - 3 -11.0 -14.4 +5.8
  Nov 17, 2018 288   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 57-54 OT 61%     1 - 3 -4.1 -17.3 +13.1
  Nov 18, 2018 150   @ Texas Arlington L 59-68 22%     1 - 4 -5.2 -5.4 -0.4
  Nov 20, 2018 272   Sacramento St. L 55-58 58%     1 - 5 -9.4 -19.9 +10.5
  Nov 23, 2018 39   @ Indiana L 62-76 6%     1 - 6 -0.1 +2.7 -4.0
  Nov 29, 2018 300   Northern Arizona W 73-57 74%     2 - 6 +5.1 -5.6 +10.9
  Dec 05, 2018 135   @ Northern Illinois L 62-71 19%     2 - 7 -3.9 -7.9 +3.8
  Dec 22, 2018 98   @ Arizona L 68-70 13%     2 - 8 +5.9 +9.7 -4.1
  Dec 28, 2018 137   @ Loyola Marymount L 59-77 19%     2 - 9 -13.0 -4.0 -10.9
  Dec 30, 2018 84   @ USC L 55-73 12%     2 - 10 -9.3 -8.3 -3.0
  Jan 10, 2019 80   @ UC Irvine L 69-71 OT 11%     2 - 11 0 - 1 +7.0 -2.3 +9.4
  Jan 12, 2019 217   @ Long Beach St. L 77-82 35%     2 - 12 0 - 2 -5.3 +2.8 -8.0
  Jan 17, 2019 170   UC Santa Barbara L 58-69 46%     2 - 13 0 - 3 -14.4 -10.3 -5.4
  Jan 19, 2019 332   Cal Poly W 75-63 84%     3 - 13 1 - 3 -2.7 -3.8 +1.5
  Jan 26, 2019 185   @ Hawaii L 60-80 29%     3 - 14 1 - 4 -18.7 -12.7 -6.0
  Feb 02, 2019 312   @ UC Riverside W 84-71 58%     4 - 14 2 - 4 +6.6 +13.5 -5.9
  Feb 07, 2019 332   @ Cal Poly W 63-53 68%     5 - 14 3 - 4 +0.8 -9.8 +11.6
  Feb 09, 2019 170   @ UC Santa Barbara W 61-57 27%     6 - 14 4 - 4 +6.1 -2.7 +9.4
  Feb 13, 2019 252   Cal St. Northridge W 76-59 64%     7 - 14 5 - 4 +8.9 +1.8 +8.3
  Feb 16, 2019 217   Long Beach St. W 77-73 56%     8 - 14 6 - 4 -1.8 +0.9 -2.8
  Feb 21, 2019 192   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 58-62 31%     8 - 15 6 - 5 -3.2 -8.2 +4.7
  Feb 23, 2019 252   @ Cal St. Northridge L 76-81 OT 43%     8 - 16 6 - 6 -7.6 -8.0 +0.9
  Feb 28, 2019 80   UC Irvine L 48-64 23%     8 - 17 6 - 7 -12.6 -14.3 -0.6
  Mar 02, 2019 192   Cal St. Fullerton W 66-59 52%     9 - 17 7 - 7 +2.2 -6.6 +8.9
  Mar 07, 2019 185   Hawaii L 69-76 50%     9 - 18 7 - 8 -11.3 -6.7 -4.5
  Mar 09, 2019 312   UC Riverside L 70-71 77%     9 - 19 7 - 9 -13.0 -4.5 -8.6
  Mar 14, 2019 192   Cal St. Fullerton L 71-75 OT 41%     9 - 20 -6.0 -4.0 -1.7
Projected Record 9.0 - 20.0 7.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%